Feeds:
Posts
Comments

Archive for the ‘Atlantic 10’ Category

Current RPI: 191 (-2 from last game’s RPI of 189)

Changes: The Niners defeated the Youngstown St. Penguins of the Horizon League by 20 in dominating fashion. Clearly a different 49ers team than the group that lost at the buzzer to teams equally futile to Y’town. Lutz is minimizing substitutions now as he appears to have a feel for how each player fits into the lineup. The Penguins were a very inferior opponent and never really threatened to take control of the game.

My Thoughts: Lamont Mack returned to lackluster play after breaking it open vs. Miss St. in the previous week. However, Dijuan Harris had a career game, finally pulling up to take the shot instead of passing as he went perfect from the floor scoring 20. Those twenty points were the difference in the game. The Niners hit 100 pts. in a regular season game for the first time since they lost in 3OT vs. #22 Alabama my freshman year… four years ago. I would continue to be optimistic about the improvement of the team if An’Juan Wilderness, the 3rd leading scorer wasn’t out for the next two weeks with a stress fracture.

Ugh. Right when we were making progress after losing 2 of our top three guards at the start of the season, we lose another top guy. I’ve now got to re-adjust my outlook on the season. I think we’ll take down Long Island to go 5-6 but at Maryland on the 3rd is now the definition point of the season. Can we beat an NCAA caliber team? Without our top defensive presence? I’m not very confident.

I’m down in Lousiana where everyone is getting hyped up about UL-Lafayette’s Ragin’ Cajuns taking on #18 Tennesee so I won’t be in Halton for the Long Island game. Hopefully I can catch it on internet radio or Uttervision via NNN.net shoutbox.

Data based on Sagarin Ratings via RPIForecast.com,

Probability of NCAA Tourney at-large bid (40 or lower RPI) = .03%<

Most probable end of season record = 14-16

I’ll be posting an RPI update for the Charlotte 49ers after every game (once data is available). You can subscribe to these updates without reading menial stories from my life by subscribing to this RSS feed. I will be launching a 49ers sports only blog in the next few months to cover this kind of information so you won’t have to read all this other stuff for too long.

Dec 28th RPI

Read Full Post »

From Andy Katz’s blog,

Charlotte is back from the dead. The 49ers opened 1-6 but have won the past two — on the road, at difficult places to play. Charlotte won at Southern Illinois and took out Mississippi State in Starkville on Wednesday. Lamont Mack was the team’s go-to guy and scored 19 points and grabbed eight boards. The 49ers were able to beat SIU with Mack going 1-for-9 for only two points.

Read Full Post »

Current RPI: 189 (+39 from last game’s RPI of 228)

Changes: The Niners defeated the Miss St. Bulldogs of the SEC by 6 after blowing a 20+ point lead in Starkville, MS to improve to 3-6 on the season. The 49ers started a 2 game win streak (Southern Ill., Miss St.) after tying the program’s worst ever losing streak by dropping 6 straight (Old Dominion, App St., Clemson, Arizona St., Providence, Cal State Fullerton)

My Thoughts: Lamont Mack finally woke up and played his first strong game of the season dropping 19 and hitting 8-15 from 2pt. range. This road win builds momentum for two relatively easy home games before heading up to Maryland. After dropping many close games (2 by 1 pt, and 2 in OT) it was great to finally win one definitively (up by 16 at the half). I can definitely see Lutz turning this team around by giving them a more structured offense and Mack getting out of his slump has helped significantly.  This team definitely goes 5-6 over the next two games and I don’t think we lose again until we play at Temple on January 24th giving us a record of 11-7 before hitting the meat of the A10 season vs. Xavier.

I think Lutz has turned this season around over the last two games and we go 20-10. We’ll finish 3rd in the A10 with a 12-4 A10 record behind Xavier and Temple. Our four conference losses will come to Xavier, Temple, Fordham and Richmond.

Disclaimer: Optimism noted above can disappear quickly by losing to Long Island or Youngstown St. in our next two games

Data based on Sagarin Ratings via RPIForecast.com,

Probability of NCAA Tourney at-large bid (40 or lower RPI) = .03%

Most probable end of season record = 14-16

I’ll be posting an RPI update for the Charlotte 49ers after every game (once data is available). You can subscribe to these updates without reading menial stories from my life by subscribing to this RSS feed. I will be launching a 49ers sports only blog in the next few months to cover this kind of information so you won’t have to read all this other stuff for too long.

Up and away!

Up and away!

Read Full Post »

After starting the season with one of the longest losing streaks in program history, the Charlotte 49ers men’s bball program beat SIU in Carbondale, Illinois… and then this happened.

RPI BOOST OF THE WEEK:  Charlotte; RPI No. 228 (Up 96 spots from 324 last week):  The Niners finally snapped their losing streak and, along with boosting team morale, the win over Southern Illinois in Carbondale boosted their RPI… in grand fashion.

Ouch, I know its early in the season but we had an RPI of 324? That means only like 10 teams in the nation had RPIs worse than ours… absolutely ouch.

 

Here is our RPI plotted over time. It peaked after we beat UNCG and... well... you can follow the rest

Here is our RPI plotted over time. It peaked after we beat UNCG and... well... you can follow the rest

Read Full Post »

This Thursday marks the first and only public exhibition for the Charlotte 49er Men’s Bball team vs. Phfiffphefr (or something spelled like that).

I’m excited for many reasons about this upcoming season but I’ll explain those later and just let this video explain,

(note: the last dunk in the video was chosen by ESPN as “Dunk of the Year”)

Read Full Post »

Too bad I couldn’t be there…. kudos to Marcus for these videos!

Read Full Post »

This past weekend the ACC was embarrassed in football on multiple levels. VT lost to ECU, Maryland almost lost to D1AA Delaware, NCSU is horrible, UNCCH got lucky on a few punt returns in order to beat D1AA McNeese St., Clemson was obliterated by Alabama, Wake is ranked but only beat Baylor. Basically its pathetic all around.

The ACC gets worse at football every year. It’s like how the A10 is always the mole to the Big East’s mallet. Except it is worse because the ACC gets an automatic BCS bid. Essentially every team in the SEC could win the ACC right now. Yes, I will stand by that statement.

Yet it is truly beautiful. After watching the VT v ECU game here in Charlotte with Jason Feltis, I realized that this was a golden age for UNC Charlotte to start a football team. The biggest thing in NC college football is the 3 time D1AA team that lost to LSU by about 40 points. In other words, not much to get excited about unless you love Boone, and most of the people that live there don’t even fall into that category.

With football failing across the area, the quality high school students will love the new approach the Charlotte 49ers can bring to the game. Just another reason to attend the March to the Gridiron on Sept. 16th to show UNC Charlotte Chancellor Phil Dubois that we want football! I won’t be there because I’ll be in Austria but I will definately be following it closely as I drum up 49er football support in Europe!

Representin' by you.

Read Full Post »

Older Posts »